Events › Other › Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or hi…
Other 1 platform 2 markets

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Combined AI YES
42.8%
Avg Confidence
60/100
Combined Volume
$551K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic e…
38.50%
40.00%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$343K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic e…
44.00%
45.50%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$208K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volca…
 38.50% 40.00% +1.5
60
$343K
Polymarket
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volca…
near 		44.00% 45.50% +1.5
60
$208K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 38.50% NO 61.50%
Polymarket
YES 44.00% NO 56.00%
Spread: 5.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans towards expecting eruptions.
  • 2 The probability gap between market and AI is minimal.
  • 3 Historical volcanic activity may influence future predictions.
  • 4 Market liquidity appears stable with moderate trading volume.
  • 5 Time until expiry allows for potential shifts in geological assessments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 38.50%
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic e…
Polymarket 44.00%
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic e…
Related Events
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 5?…
5583 markets
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on …
2876 markets
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-…
1081 markets
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?…
1039 markets
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?…
305 markets