Events › Politics › Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 20…
Politics 1 platform 3 markets

Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end of 2026?

Combined AI YES
40.3%
Avg Confidence
48/100
Combined Volume
$2K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end o…
5.56%
24.38%
AI YES
+8
Edge pts
55
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will Trump complete 75% or more of Project 2025 by the end o…
65.30%
56.30%
AI YES
-9
Edge pts
45
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end o…
50.30%
43.80%
AI YES
-6.5
Edge pts
45
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the …
 5.56% 24.38% +8
55
—
Manifold
Will Trump complete 75% or more of Project 2025 by the …
near 		65.30% 56.30% -9
45
—
Manifold
Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the …
near 		50.30% 43.80% -6.5
45
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 5.56% NO 94.44%
Manifold
YES 65.30% NO 34.70%
Manifold
YES 50.30% NO 49.70%
Spread: 59.7 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
  • 2 The gap between market probability and AI probability indicates uncertainty.
  • 3 A confidence score of 55/100 suggests moderate reliability of predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
  • 5 Insufficient data limits the ability to make strong predictions.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 3 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 5.56%
Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end o…
Manifold 65.30%
Will Trump complete 75% or more of Project 2025 by the end o…
Manifold 50.30%
Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end o…
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