Events › Politics › Will Trump pardon SBF?…
Politics 1 platform 3 markets

Will Trump pardon SBF?

Combined AI YES
28.1%
Avg Confidence
43/100
Combined Volume
$37K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will Trump pardon SBF?…
11.00%
14.39%
AI YES
+6
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$32K
Volume
Manifold
Will Trump pardon himself?…
50.31%
45.81%
AI YES
-4.5
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$4K
Volume
Manifold
Will Trump pardon Maduro?…
14.63%
23.72%
AI YES
+8
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will Trump pardon SBF?…
 11.00% 14.39% +6
45
$32K
Manifold
Will Trump pardon himself?…
near 		50.31% 45.81% -4.5
45
$4K
Manifold
Will Trump pardon Maduro?…
near 		14.63% 23.72% +8
40
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 11.00% NO 89.00%
Manifold
YES 50.31% NO 49.69%
Manifold
YES 14.63% NO 85.37%
Spread: 39.3 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 Pulse AI indicates a potential undervaluation of the YES side.
  • 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry remains extensive at over 24600 hours.
  • 5 Market dynamics could shift with new political developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 3 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 11.00%
Will Trump pardon SBF?…
Manifold 50.31%
Will Trump pardon himself?…
Manifold 14.63%
Will Trump pardon Maduro?…
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