Event Intelligence

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

9%

Avg YES

Manifold $44K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

64%

Avg YES

Manifold $15K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will Project Vault's stockpile cause U.S. lithium prices to fall below $18/kg by March 22, 2026?

14.6%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will Cannibis be federally legalized in America by 2026?

1.7%

Avg YES

Manifold $14K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026

81.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

52.5%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will I become CEO, CFO, COO, CIO of any publicly traded company by 2100(NYSE, NYSEArca, Nasdaq)

9.4%

Avg YES

Manifold $3K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

7%

Avg YES

Manifold $38K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?

71.3%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will European Central Bank cut interest rates before June 2026?

18%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will a publicly traded asteroid‑mining company exist by EOY 2050?

10%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

99%

Avg YES

Polymarket $138K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2027)

75.7%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

any U.S. federal official visit Venezuela before June 1, 2026?

70.9%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 26?

0.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $414K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Effective Altruism stock [permanent]

70%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

AT Protocol has more MAU than ActivityPub Fediverse by 2030?

71.9%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Novo Nordisk stock price under $30 during 2026?

48.5%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will U.S. CPI inflation (YoY, all items) for March 2026 come in below 3.0%?

53%

Avg YES

Manifold

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?

96.3%

Avg YES

Manifold $2K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2040?

94.2%

Avg YES

Manifold $1K

💰 Business & Finance 1 market

Recession in Australia in 2026?

39%

Avg YES

Manifold