Event Intelligence

₿ Crypto 4 markets

DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?

13.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $205K

₿ Crypto 4 markets

Bitcoin $55K before $75K?

29.6%

Avg YES

Manifold $20K

₿ Crypto 4 markets

Will Bitcoin go below $70,000 in the next 24hrs

57.1%

Avg YES

Manifold $346K

₿ Crypto 4 markets

Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-03-15?

25%

Avg YES

Polymarket $209K

₿ Crypto 4 markets

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.6M

₿ Crypto 4 markets

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

6%

Avg YES

Polymarket $6.4M

₿ Crypto 4 markets

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

14.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $223K

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

38.4%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $741K

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will Bitcoin hit $100.000 again before July 1, 2026?

7.7%

Avg YES

Manifold $5K

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will Bitcoin drop below 50k before it reaches 200k?

59.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $60K

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

15.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $3.2M

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will Tether collapse before 2028?

19%

Avg YES

Manifold $3K

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will Ethereum reach $500 before it reaches $5000?

29.8%

Avg YES

Manifold $7K

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will "Eliezer's Unteachable Methods of Sanity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

35.2%

Avg YES

Manifold $3K

₿ Crypto 3 markets

Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

34%

Avg YES

Polymarket $208K

₿ Crypto 2 markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

13.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $2M

₿ Crypto 2 markets

Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?

1.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $5.6M

₿ Crypto 2 markets

Bitcoin $80K in March?

1%

Avg YES

Manifold $109K

₿ Crypto 2 markets

Will something CRAZY happen due to the Anthropic/DoD situation?

8.3%

Avg YES

Manifold $7K

₿ Crypto 2 markets

If bitcoin reaches $150k USD will it reach $160k within two weeks?

13.1%

Avg YES

Manifold $4K

₿ Crypto 2 markets

If Bitcoin reaches $120k before the end of 2025, will it reach $120k again in 2026?

23%

Avg YES

Manifold $3K

₿ Crypto 2 markets

Will the AI-generated Bitcoin song "Chain of Infinite" by Lunr Reverb go viral and reach 1,000,000 streams before 2027?

16.7%

Avg YES

Manifold $4K

₿ Crypto 2 markets

Bitcoin $170K by mid 2026?

4.7%

Avg YES

Manifold $24K

₿ Crypto 2 markets

Will Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?

11.1%

Avg YES

Manifold $10K