Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

180 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
₿ Crypto 2 markets
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Score
0.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $17K
₿ Crypto 2 markets
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?
50%
Avg YES
Polymarket $344K
₿ Crypto 2 markets
Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 on April 30, 2026?
21.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $4K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.2%
Avg YES
Polymarket $8.2M
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
63%
Avg YES
Polymarket $367K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
58%
Avg YES
Polymarket $342K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
40.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $232K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?
1.4%
Avg YES
Polymarket $209K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
2.9%
Avg YES
Polymarket $167K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
66.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $154K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
0.8%
Avg YES
Polymarket $132K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
77%
Avg YES
Polymarket $76K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
0.6%
Avg YES
Polymarket $32K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
0%
Avg YES
Polymarket $348K
₿ Crypto 1 market
When BTC 80K?
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $22K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
23.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $21K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency replace the US Dollar by 2030?
3.5%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
₿ Crypto 1 market
BTC hits $10k before SPY reaches $700?
6%
Avg YES
Manifold $29K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will the next Bitcoin block have an even number?
59.7%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will btc drop to 10K by July?
2%
Avg YES
Manifold $11K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Manifold Markets launch a crypto token before 2027?
21.2%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Bitcoin hit 200k usd before it hits 50k usd ?
24%
Avg YES
Manifold $9K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?
68%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
32.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
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