Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

180 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will planet k2-18b be confirmed to contain a major sign of Alien Life: DMS (dimethyl sulphide)
7.8%
Avg YES
Manifold $10K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will BTC exceed 73k before Sunday, March 22, 2026?
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Drake say something about Kendrick in Iceman?
87.8%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Bitcoin reach $300K before a human steps on Mars?
69.5%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?
96.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $34K
₿ Crypto 1 market
from now march 21 2026 Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before 2027?”
41%
Avg YES
Manifold $4K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
26.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will we see the first lethal strike by generative AI before 2027?
12.5%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Ethan Quinn win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
0%
Avg YES
Polymarket $269K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Bitcoin network hashrate go up in 24h?
49.2%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will RSA-2048 encryption be broken before Bitcoin reaches $150K USD?
17.1%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
42%
Avg YES
Manifold $13K
₿ Crypto 1 market
SPX > BTC by 2030?
10.5%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Chelsea Voss (@csvoss) and gwern end up in a relationship (or fall in love/have babby together) by EOY2028?
3.5%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Jordan Paul ( lesbegay2gether ) TikTok. Continue to ask for money in two weeks.
66%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Monero be able to be bought and sold through Coinbase before the end of 2026?
16%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days
8.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Pete Hegseth write or say the words "Deus vult" while Secretary of Defence?
23.8%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030
12.7%
Avg YES
Manifold $20K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Apple announce something stupid in 2026?
77%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will price of bitcoin reach above 75k before April ends?
56.5%
Avg YES
Manifold
₿ Crypto 1 market
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?
6%
Avg YES
Manifold $71K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eagles
0.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $122K
₿ Crypto 1 market
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?
33%
Avg YES
Polymarket $77K
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