Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

67 canonical events โ€ข Updated every sync cycle
All ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics โšฝ Sports โ‚ฟ Crypto ๐Ÿค– AI & Tech ๐Ÿ’ฐ Business & Finance ๐ŸŒ Geopolitics ๐Ÿ”ฌ Science & Health ๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment ๐Ÿ”ฎ Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will anyone have an uncommon pet in tonight's movie? Excludes Dog, Cat, and Fish. (March 16 2026)
55%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will "Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
1.4%
Avg YES
Polymarket $4K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before 2030?
37%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will the Super Mario Galaxy movie feature a teaser for a Legend of Zelda film?
34.1%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Taylor Swift act in a feature length movie before the end of 2026?
16.5%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will the Super Mario Bros 2 movie get 70% critics score or higher on RT?
21.4%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Tom Holland get an Oscar by end of 2027
9.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Netflix be defunct by 2030?
9.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $10K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man be Netflixโ€™s #1 film in its opening week?
85.7%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will there be a major movie about OpenClaw by EOY 2027?
10.3%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Phoebe Bridgers releases new album by 2027
73.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Nettspend surpass 2m monthly listeners in the week following the release of his upcoming album "Early Life Crisis"?
57%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will MODOK be added to Marvel Rivals by the end of 2026?
33.2%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will video-creating AIs make Hollywood movies significantly cheaper to make by 2033?
77%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
32.7%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will the Unsong musical be good?
63.7%
Avg YES
Manifold $84K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will i watch 100 movies this year?
38.2%
Avg YES
Manifold
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will K-Pop Demon Hunters win the Oscar for Best Picture in 2026?
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0.7%
Avg YES
Polymarket $208K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend?
99.7%
Avg YES
Polymarket $19K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?
31%
Avg YES
Polymarket $14K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win his 2nd Best Actor Oscar at the 98th Oscars?
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Marty Supreme win any Oscars in 2026?
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
๐ŸŽฌ Entertainment 1 market
Will Teyana Taylor win best supporting actress at OSCAR 2026
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
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