Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

67 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?
98.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will a new Tremors movie release before 2030?
54.8%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?
41.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $5K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Oscars 2026: Will the same film win best picture and best director?
71.7%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will a man get pushed/kicked/blasted through a window in tonight's movie? (March 9 2026)
56%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will there be any future celebrities in tonight's movie? (March 9 2026)
17.5%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will Zendaya skip the 2026 Oscars but attend the Vanity Fair After-Party?
1.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?
9.8%
Avg YES
Manifold $5K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will the eventual Best Picture winner also win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars?
77%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}
11.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
A significant theme or plot point in the next James Bond movie will be stochastic terrorism?
22%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will there be a SHOCKING UPSET at the Oscars? (Winner <10%, according to Manifold)
59.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $7K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will the Project Hail Mary movie include a meburger (no spoilers)
6.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
In the "Project Hail Mary" movie, will a Beatles song be played during the scene where the beetles are launched?
98.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will "The Secret Agent" win an Oscar?
1%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will someone say “Fuck Ice” And/Or “Free Palestine” at the Oscars?
28.8%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Midjourney is credited by name in a movie which is nominated for an Oscar before 4/2028
28.2%
Avg YES
Manifold
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will there be a tie for most Oscars? (2026)
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $1K
🎬 Entertainment 1 market
Will Kevin Hart host the Oscars before 2031?
23.8%
Avg YES
Manifold
1 2 3