Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

603 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
35.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $7K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Est ce l’Amérique va bombardé l’Iran
82.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will 2026 be the warmest year ever?
17%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of March?
2.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $206K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Iran Government falls before end of March 2026
1%
Avg YES
Manifold $18K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Nuclear war in next 5 years?
4.5%
Avg YES
Manifold $6K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will the UK government introduce mandatory military conscription by end of Dec 31, 2027?
9%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Nuclear power production increases in USA 2023-2033
76.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $5K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
13%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Le coupe du monde ne sera pas à Mexique
12.9%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will gas prices continue to get higher because of the war
87.9%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Ww3 with nuclear
3.1%
Avg YES
Manifold $7K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will Golden State Warriors beat Oklahoma Thunder
3.8%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will another Iranian official be killed
89.4%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Ukraine war ends in 2026?
20%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will Russia occupy Dnipro ( Dnepropetrovs'k ) at the end of 2026?
10.3%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?
8.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2026?
5.3%
Avg YES
Manifold $7K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will formal peace talks between Russia and Ukraine take place before March 10, 2026?
2%
Avg YES
Manifold $46K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Is Iran a forever war?
26.6%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
24.2%
Avg YES
Manifold $8K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Forever Market for Daily Rewards
50.1%
Avg YES
Manifold
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?
64.4%
Avg YES
Manifold $39K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
New Iranian Supreme Leader is chosen in March 2026 and killed in March 2026.
4.7%
Avg YES
Manifold $24K
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