Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

603 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
0.9%
Avg YES
Polymarket $18K
🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets
Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?
50%
Avg YES
Polymarket $219K
🌍 Geopolitics 2 markets
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
0.6%
Avg YES
Polymarket $13K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
0.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $2.1M
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?
96%
Avg YES
Manifold $2M
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
7.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $670K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
4.7%
Avg YES
Polymarket $585K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
25.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $501K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
4.9%
Avg YES
Polymarket $448K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
21.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $377K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
56.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $359K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
24.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $354K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
5.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $340K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
21%
Avg YES
Polymarket $338K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
67.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $306K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
29%
Avg YES
Polymarket $255K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
2.6%
Avg YES
Polymarket $179K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $161K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
0.6%
Avg YES
Polymarket $139K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
100%
Avg YES
Polymarket $168K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
17%
Avg YES
Polymarket $135K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Iran Nuke before 2027?
13.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $239K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
US announces military support of Iran oppostion by March 31?
2.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $227K
🌍 Geopolitics 1 market
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
3.9%
Avg YES
Polymarket $202K
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