Event Intelligence

The same real-world event, tracked across every prediction platform. Compare Polymarket vs Manifold odds on identical questions.

70 canonical events • Updated every sync cycle
All 🗳️ Politics ⚽ Sports ₿ Crypto 🤖 AI & Tech 💰 Business & Finance 🌍 Geopolitics 🔬 Science & Health 🎬 Entertainment 🔮 Other
Most Markets Soonest Most Volume
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2027?
24%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
45%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will there be an Opioid Vaccine available by the end of 2026?
4.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $4K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Free Lottery (virus in biosphere)
31.3%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will I get into Simons Summer Research Program 2026?
35.1%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2040?
57%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?
6.3%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
0.1%
Avg YES
Polymarket $213K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Biological test for early detection of Parkinson's Disease by 2028
95%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory?
4.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $2K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will Anysphere/Cursor make a play into the repository hosting space in 2026?
17.6%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will major health bodies recommend limiting linoleic acid intake before 2050?
16.6%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31?
0%
Avg YES
Polymarket $13K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Free Lottery (polio virus)
30.3%
Avg YES
Manifold
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?
10.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $9K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?
49%
Avg YES
Manifold $29K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?
0.3%
Avg YES
Polymarket $18K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will International Space Station be in orbit on January 1, 2030?
74.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $3K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?
69.6%
Avg YES
Manifold $35K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
16.5%
Avg YES
Polymarket $542K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
13.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $8K
🔬 Science & Health 1 market
Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?
66.9%
Avg YES
Manifold $34K
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