Markets / Business & Finance / Will "Don't Sell Stock to Donate" make the top fifty posts i...
Manifold Business & Finance Expires in 246 days OPEN

Will "Don't Sell Stock to Donate" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

13.51%
Market YES
86.49%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
19.01%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5.5 pts

The market favors a NO outcome for the post's inclusion in the review.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that 'Don't Sell Stock to Donate' will not make the top fifty posts, with a NO probability of 86.49%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability of 19.01%. The edge of 5.5 suggests uncertainty in the market's confidence level.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 The market shows low confidence with a 50/100 rating.
  • 3 The time to expiry is over 7 days, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 4 Market liquidity appears limited, impacting price movements.
  • 5 Historical trends may influence the perception of similar posts.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Increased engagement or discussion around the post
New information or endorsements from influential figures
Changes in the criteria for selection in the Annual Review
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $324
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Feb 2027
Status Open
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