Will tariffs in Q4 2025 be below what they were in Q4 2024?

Market predicts tariffs in Q4 2025 will be higher than in Q4 2024.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that tariffs in Q4 2025 will not decrease compared to Q4 2024, with a 99% probability assigned to the 'NO' outcome. The Pulse AI further supports this view, showing a 93.5% likelihood that tariffs will remain the same or increase. However, the edge suggests that data is insufficient for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors higher tariffs in Q4 2025.
• 2 Key factors include ongoing trade relations and economic conditions.
• 3 Historical trends show tariffs often remain stable or increase.
• 4 Liquidity appears low, indicating potential volatility in predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 1096 hours until expiry.