Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?

Market predicts higher inflation in 2026 compared to 2025 with a 71.34% probability.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) will reflect higher inflation in 2026 than in 2025, with a probability of 71.34% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a lower probability of 63.34%, suggesting some uncertainty in the data. The edge of -8 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards increased inflation in 2026.
• 2 The probability gap between YES and NO indicates strong confidence in the YES outcome.
• 3 Insufficient data reflected in the edge score suggests caution in interpretation.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Economic indicators leading up to 2026 will be crucial for market adjustments.