Will the UK have a Land Value Tax that raises over £10Bn inflation adjusted by 2030?

The market indicates a low probability for a UK Land Value Tax raising over £10Bn by 2030.

With a market probability of 11.36% for a Land Value Tax exceeding £10Bn by 2030, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a general skepticism about the feasibility of such a tax within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment is predominantly against the likelihood of a Land Value Tax.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests a slight underestimation by the market.
• 3 The confidence level of 50 indicates uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential policy changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.