Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?

Market shows a near-even split on future US Fed Funds rate exceeding 4%.

The prediction market indicates a slight lean towards the US Fed Funds rate being below 4% in ten years, with a probability of 54.43% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI suggests a more balanced view, with a probability of 51.07% for 'YES', reflecting uncertainty and insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is closely divided on future rates.
• 2 Key factors include inflation expectations and economic growth.
• 3 Historical base rates suggest fluctuations in monetary policy.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is limited, affecting confidence levels.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with 54071 hours until expiry.