Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?

Market shows uncertainty about significant GDP growth before 2040.

The market indicates a higher probability for a 'NO' outcome regarding a 15% GDP growth year before 2040, with a split between YES and NO probabilities being relatively close. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slight lean towards NO, reflecting uncertainty in economic conditions and growth potential.

• 1 Current sentiment leans towards NO with a 57% probability.
• 2 The market is closely contested, indicating uncertainty in economic forecasts.
• 3 Historical data shows significant GDP growth is rare in short timeframes.
• 4 Liquidity is moderate, suggesting cautious investor engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential economic shifts.