Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?

Market indicates low probability for a 20% GDP jump before 2030.

The prediction market shows an 11.81% chance of world real GDP increasing by 20% within a year before 2030, with a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI model estimates a slightly higher probability of 15.31%, but both metrics suggest skepticism about such a significant economic surge occurring in the near term.

• 1 Market sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of a YES outcome is low compared to historical GDP growth rates.
• 3 Current economic conditions do not support a 20% GDP jump.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 3.5.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential economic shifts.