Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?

Market strongly favors no rate decrease after April 2026 meeting.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of no interest rate decrease by the Bank of England after the April 2026 meeting, with a market probability of 99.75% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a potential decrease at 2.25%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors no rate decrease.
• 2 Market probabilities suggest stability in interest rates.
• 3 Historical trends show reluctance to cut rates significantly.
• 4 Liquidity in the market indicates limited speculative activity.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 894 hours until expiry.

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.