Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Market indicates low likelihood of interest rate increase by the Bank of England after March 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against an interest rate increase, with a 99.4% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI further supports this view with a 97.4% probability, suggesting that market participants expect stability in rates beyond March 2026.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors no rate increase.
• 2 Historical trends show stability in rates post-2026.
• 3 Market probabilities suggest a well-priced scenario.
• 4 Liquidity appears sufficient for current trading activity.
• 5 Time to expiry indicates limited immediate volatility.

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.