Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 26?

The market strongly favors a decline in the Dow Jones on March 26.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% chance of the Dow Jones being down on March 26, with only a 0.05% chance of it being up. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a high level of confidence in a downward trend. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.95.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a decline in the DJIA.
• 2 Probability of an upward movement is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 The Pulse AI aligns closely with market expectations.
• 4 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Confidence level indicates a strong belief in the predicted outcome.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Thursday, March 26, 2026 is higher than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Thursday, March 26, 2026 is lower than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If DJIA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session