Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Market predicts low likelihood of Jerome Powell being federally charged by June 30.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the likelihood of Jerome Powell facing federal charges, with a probability of 2.80% for 'YES' and 97.2% for 'NO'. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, indicating a well-balanced market sentiment on this issue.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 97.2%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also indicates low risk at 95.2% for 'NO'.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 2687 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.