Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 11?

Market leans towards a decline for Russell 2000 on March 11.

The prediction market indicates a 58% probability for the Russell 2000 to go down on March 11, with a pulse verdict aligning with this sentiment. The AI probability also suggests a slight preference for a downward movement, indicating a consensus on market expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a decline in Russell 2000.
• 2 Market probabilities are closely aligned with AI predictions.
• 3 The edge of 2 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, heightening the urgency of market movements.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Wednesday, March 11, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Wednesday, March 11, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either