S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?

The market predicts a strong likelihood the S&P 500 will open up on March 11.

With a market probability of 99.95% for an upward opening of the S&P 500, sentiment is overwhelmingly positive. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a probability of 98.45%, indicating strong confidence in the prediction despite a slight edge suggesting the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current sentiment is highly bullish for the S&P 500 opening.
• 2 Market and AI probabilities align closely, indicating consensus.
• 3 The edge of -1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is strong at 80 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market movements.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 11 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 11 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into t