S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?

The market strongly favors the S&P 500 opening up on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.55% for an upward opening, sentiment is overwhelmingly positive. The Pulse AI also indicates a high likelihood of an upward move, though with a slight edge suggesting the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current sentiment is highly bullish for the S&P 500.
• 2 Market probability indicates strong confidence in an upward opening.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly lower probability, indicating potential market efficiency.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Edge analysis shows the market is fairly priced with minimal room for adjustment.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 16 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 16 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into t