Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in March?

The market strongly favors that a dozen eggs will not cost between $3.25–3.50 in March.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood (99.65%) that a dozen eggs will not fall within the specified price range. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for the YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced given the current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against the price range.
• 2 The historical base rate for egg prices suggests stability.
• 3 Liquidity in this market appears adequate for trading.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 346 hours until expiry.
• 5 Market confidence is relatively low at 60/100.

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.