Low probability of Kevin Spacey visiting Epstein's island based on current market data.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the likelihood of Kevin Spacey being confirmed to have visited Epstein's island, with a 91% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low chance of confirmation. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge, suggesting that current information is adequately reflected in the probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.