Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in March?

Market strongly favors no increase in inflation by 0.3% or less in March.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.15% for no increase in monthly inflation by 0.3% or less in March. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 97.15%, indicating a consensus on the expected inflation trend. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors no inflation increase.
• 2 The probability gap suggests strong confidence in the NO outcome.
• 3 Historical inflation trends may support the current predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no major fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential adjustments based on new data.

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will re