Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?

Market indicates low probability of a 0.4% inflation increase in March.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against a 0.4% increase in monthly inflation for March, with a 99.45% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 2.55%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with moderate confidence.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Historical inflation trends may influence expectations.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential market adjustments.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will re