Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?

The market strongly favors no increase in inflation for February.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that monthly inflation will not increase by 0.4% or more in February. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a consensus on inflation stability. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available information.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in stable inflation rates.
• 2 Historical trends suggest low volatility in inflation during February.
• 3 Liquidity appears healthy, supporting current market positions.
• 4 Sentiment reflects a strong belief in economic stability.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in February 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market w