Events › Geopolitics › 100 US troop killed in action with Iran by Ap…
Geopolitics 1 platform 1 market

100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?

Combined AI YES
12%
Avg Confidence
55/100
Combined Volume
$5K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?…
6.70%
11.99%
AI YES
+5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$5K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?…
 6.70% 11.99% +5
55
$5K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 6.70% NO 93.30%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment is heavily skewed towards 'NO'.
  • 2 The market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 5.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 482 hours.
  • 5 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' than the market.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 6.70%
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?…
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