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Geopolitics 1 platform 1 market

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Combined AI YES
21.6%
Avg Confidence
45/100
Combined Volume
$2K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to…
15.85%
21.59%
AI YES
+5
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$2K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust w…
 15.85% 21.59% +5
45
$2K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 15.85% NO 84.15%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 83.41%.
  • 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher 'YES' probability at 21.59%.
  • 3 Market confidence is moderate at 45 out of 100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial at over 650 days.
  • 5 Market appears fairly priced with a 5-point edge.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 15.85%
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to…
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