Events › Business & Finance › Fed rate hike in 2026?…
Business & Finance 2 platforms 2 markets

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Combined AI YES
29.9%
Avg Confidence
58/100
Combined Volume
$748K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Fed rate hike in 2026?…
18.50%
15.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$746K
Volume
Manifold
Fed rate hike in 2026?…
20.90%
46.22%
AI YES
+3.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$2K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Fed rate hike in 2026?…
 18.50% 15.00% +2
60
$746K
Manifold
Fed rate hike in 2026?…
 20.90% 46.22% +3.5
55
$2K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 18.50% NO 81.50%
Manifold
YES 20.90% NO 79.10%
Spread: 2.4 pts — platforms broadly agree.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability for a rate hike is low at 13%.
  • 2 The Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for a rate hike at 15%.
  • 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60 out of 100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial at over 6 months, allowing for economic developments.
  • 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Business & Finance
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 18.50%
Fed rate hike in 2026?…
Manifold 20.90%
Fed rate hike in 2026?…
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