Events › Business & Finance › Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily…
Business & Finance 1 platform 14 markets

Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Combined AI YES
15.7%
Avg Confidence
60/100
Combined Volume
$1.9M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of th…
0.10%
5.10%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$221K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the…
96.70%
61.50%
AI YES
-1
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$467K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of th…
0.05%
8.20%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$294K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of th…
2.25%
23.00%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$288K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of th…
11.95%
7.25%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$201K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits …
 0.10% 5.10% +2
60
$221K
Polymarket
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits o…
 96.70% 61.50% -1
60
$467K
Polymarket
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits …
 0.05% 8.20% +2
60
$294K
Polymarket
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits …
 2.25% 23.00% +2
60
$288K
Polymarket
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits …
near 		11.95% 7.25% +2
60
$201K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.10% NO 99.90%
Polymarket
YES 96.70% NO 3.30%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 2.25% NO 97.75%
Polymarket
YES 11.95% NO 88.05%
Spread: 96.7 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
  • 2 The probability of 5.1% from Pulse AI indicates some uncertainty.
  • 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
  • 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 301 hours.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Business & Finance
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 14 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.10%
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of th…
Polymarket 96.70%
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the…
Polymarket 0.05%
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of th…
Polymarket 2.25%
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of th…
Polymarket 11.95%
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of th…
+9 more markets
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