Events › Business & Finance › Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ b…
Business & Finance 2 platforms 13 markets

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Combined AI YES
21.3%
Avg Confidence
88/100
Combined Volume
$562.8M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Ma…
0.05%
1.00%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$173.2M
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the Ma…
0.05%
1.00%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$173M
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the Mar…
0.05%
1.00%
AI YES
+1
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$87.1M
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Marc…
100.00%
98.50%
AI YES
-1.5
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$85.4M
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Ap…
0.45%
2.45%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
95
Confidence
$14.4M
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after t…
 0.05% 1.00% +1
95
$173.2M
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after t…
near 		0.05% 1.00% +1
95
$173M
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after th…
 0.05% 1.00% +1
95
$87.1M
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…
near 		100.00% 98.50% -1.5
95
$85.4M
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after t…
near 		0.45% 2.45% +2
95
$14.4M
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 100.00% NO 0.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.45% NO 99.55%
Spread: 100 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market heavily favors no decrease in rates post-March 2026.
  • 2 High confidence level of 95/100 suggests strong consensus.
  • 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market probabilities.
  • 4 Edge of 0.95 indicates fair pricing in the market.
  • 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Business & Finance
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 13 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.05%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Ma…
Polymarket 0.05%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the Ma…
Polymarket 0.05%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the Mar…
Polymarket 100.00%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Marc…
Polymarket 0.45%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Ap…
+8 more markets
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