Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?…

16.00%

19.50%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$565K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 202…

16.00%

19.50%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$385K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?…

7.50%

8.00%

AI YES

+0.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$288K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?…

10.60%

14.10%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$203K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?…

27.00%

30.50%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$86K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 20…	16.00%	19.50%	+3.5	65	$565K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31… near	16.00%	19.50%	+3.5	60	$385K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?… near	7.50%	8.00%	+0.5	80	$288K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 20… near	10.60%	14.10%	+3.5	60	$203K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027… near	27.00%	30.50%	+3.5	60	$86K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 16.00% NO 84.00%

Polymarket

YES 16.00% NO 84.00%

Polymarket

YES 7.50% NO 92.50%

Polymarket

YES 10.60% NO 89.40%

Polymarket

YES 27.00% NO 73.00%

Spread: 19.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
2 Historical tensions between Israel and Syria contribute to low normalization prospects.
3 The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.5.
4 Confidence level is relatively high at 80/100.
5 Uncertainty about the time to expiry may affect market dynamics.