Trump impeached by end of 2026? — PredictionPulse Event

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Trump impeached by end of 2026?…

10.50%

13.50%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$559K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Trump gets impeached by January 20, 2029…

63.34%

53.95%

AI YES

-9

Edge pts

Confidence

—

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Trump impeached by end of 2026?…	10.50%	13.50%	+3	75	$559K	Detail Trade →
Manifold Trump gets impeached by January 20, 2029… near	63.34%	53.95%	-9	40	—	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 10.50% NO 89.50%

Manifold

YES 63.34% NO 36.66%

Spread: 52.8 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
2 The market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 3.
3 Impeachment likelihood is historically low for former presidents.
4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential political developments.
5 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in current predictions.