Events › Geopolitics › United States and Iran reach and formally ann…
Geopolitics 1 platform 1 market

United States and Iran reach and formally announce a new agreement by March 20, 2026

Combined AI YES
11.3%
Avg Confidence
55/100
Combined Volume
$2K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
United States and Iran reach and formally announce a new agr…
2.59%
11.25%
AI YES
+5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$2K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
United States and Iran reach and formally announce a ne…
 2.59% 11.25% +5
55
$2K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 2.59% NO 97.41%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 93.75%.
  • 2 Pulse AI shows slightly more optimism with YES at 11.25%.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
  • 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5.
  • 5 Time to expiry is short at 110 hours, adding urgency to developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 2.59%
United States and Iran reach and formally announce a new agr…
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