Events › Geopolitics › Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in…
Geopolitics 1 platform 1 market

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

Combined AI YES
51%
Avg Confidence
50/100
Combined Volume
$10K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world befo…
60.00%
51.00%
AI YES
-9
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$10K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world…
 60.00% 51.00% -9
50
$10K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 60.00% NO 40.00%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a higher risk of nuclear detonation.
  • 2 Geopolitical tensions are a key factor influencing market probabilities.
  • 3 Historical data shows fluctuating risks associated with nuclear threats.
  • 4 Market liquidity may be affecting the accuracy of current probabilities.
  • 5 Time pressure is significant with 68736 hours until market expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 60.00%
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world befo…
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