Events › AI & Tech › Will Apple release a new product line before …
AI & Tech 2 platforms 6 markets

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Combined AI YES
53.9%
Avg Confidence
55/100
Combined Volume
$248K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?…
51.00%
51.00%
AI YES
0
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$211K
Volume
Manifold
Apple to release a foldable iPhone before 2027?…
75.67%
69.10%
AI YES
-5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$24K
Volume
Manifold
Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?…
79.05%
74.05%
AI YES
-5
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$10K
Volume
Manifold
Will Apple release an Apple Ring before 2030?…
53.82%
52.32%
AI YES
-1.5
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$3K
Volume
Manifold
will apple release iPhone 18 Pro before September 2026?…
18.22%
22.99%
AI YES
+6.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?…
 51.00% 51.00% 0
65
$211K
Manifold
Apple to release a foldable iPhone before 2027?…
near 		75.67% 69.10% -5
55
$24K
Manifold
Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?…
near 		79.05% 74.05% -5
50
$10K
Manifold
Will Apple release an Apple Ring before 2030?…
near 		53.82% 52.32% -1.5
50
$3K
Manifold
will apple release iPhone 18 Pro before September 2026?…
near 		18.22% 22.99% +6.5
55
—
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 51.00% NO 49.00%
Manifold
YES 75.67% NO 24.33%
Manifold
YES 79.05% NO 20.95%
Manifold
YES 53.82% NO 46.18%
Manifold
YES 18.22% NO 81.78%
Spread: 60.8 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment is nearly balanced between YES and NO.
  • 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 External factors like competition could impact probabilities.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category AI & Tech
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 6 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 51.00%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?…
Manifold 75.67%
Apple to release a foldable iPhone before 2027?…
Manifold 79.05%
Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?…
Manifold 53.82%
Will Apple release an Apple Ring before 2030?…
Manifold 18.22%
will apple release iPhone 18 Pro before September 2026?…
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