Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

The market is evenly split on Apple's new product line release before 2027.

With a market probability of 51% for a YES outcome and 49% for NO, the prediction market indicates uncertainty regarding Apple's plans. The confidence level of 65 suggests moderate belief in the current probabilities, while the time to expiry of 7097 hours allows for potential developments that could influence the outcome.

• 1 Current sentiment is nearly balanced between YES and NO.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 External factors like competition could impact probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Apple.