Events › AI & Tech › Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench …
AI & Tech 1 platform 1 market

Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?

Combined AI YES
53.5%
Avg Confidence
50/100
Combined Volume
$1K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?…
47.02%
53.52%
AI YES
+6.5
Edge pts
50
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?…
 47.02% 53.52% +6.5
50
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 47.02% NO 52.98%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability favors NO slightly at 52.98%.
  • 2 Pulse AI shows a narrow YES advantage at 53.52%.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, indicating uncertainty.
  • 4 The edge of 6.5 suggests insufficient data for a strong conclusion.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 6837 hours, allowing for potential developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category AI & Tech
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 47.02%
Will Claude Sonnet 5 exceed 85% on SWE-bench verified?…
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