Events › Science & Health › Will "Safety researchers should take a public…
Science & Health 1 platform 2 markets

Will "Safety researchers should take a public stance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Combined AI YES
24.5%
Avg Confidence
45/100
Combined Volume
$0K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will "Safety researchers should take a public stance" make t…
26.03%
31.53%
AI YES
+5.5
Edge pts
50
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will "It Is Reasonable To Research How To Use Model..." make…
10.30%
15.80%
AI YES
+5.5
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will "Safety researchers should take a public stance" m…
 26.03% 31.53% +5.5
50
—
Manifold
Will "It Is Reasonable To Research How To Use Model..."…
near 		10.30% 15.80% +5.5
40
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 26.03% NO 73.97%
Manifold
YES 10.30% NO 89.70%
Spread: 15.7 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
Event Info
Category Science & Health
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 26.03%
Will "Safety researchers should take a public stance" make t…
Manifold 10.30%
Will "It Is Reasonable To Research How To Use Model..." make…
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