Events › Science & Health › Will there be at least 500 measles cases in t…
Science & Health 1 platform 14 markets

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Combined AI YES
71.4%
Avg Confidence
71/100
Combined Volume
$1.3M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026…
100.00%
99.00%
AI YES
-1
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$103K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by Mar…
100.00%
99.00%
AI YES
-1
Edge pts
80
Confidence
$361K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by Mar…
100.00%
99.00%
AI YES
-1
Edge pts
80
Confidence
$361K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by Mar…
0.80%
2.80%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$135K
Volume
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 202…
100.00%
99.00%
AI YES
-1
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$72K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in…
 100.00% 99.00% -1
75
$103K
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. b…
near 		100.00% 99.00% -1
80
$361K
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. b…
near 		100.00% 99.00% -1
80
$361K
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. b…
near 		0.80% 2.80% +2
65
$135K
Polymarket
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. i…
near 		100.00% 99.00% -1
75
$72K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 100.00% NO 0.00%
Polymarket
YES 100.00% NO 0.00%
Polymarket
YES 100.00% NO 0.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.80% NO 99.20%
Polymarket
YES 100.00% NO 0.00%
Spread: 99.9 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market shows unanimous belief in exceeding 1400 cases.
  • 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment.
  • 3 Confidence level is relatively high at 80/100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the prediction.
  • 5 No liquidity issues are indicated in the current market.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Science & Health
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 14 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 100.00%
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026…
Polymarket 100.00%
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by Mar…
Polymarket 100.00%
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by Mar…
Polymarket 0.80%
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by Mar…
Polymarket 100.00%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 202…
+9 more markets
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