Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

The market predicts over 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 2026 with high confidence.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that there will be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026, with a market probability of 100%. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a probability of 99%, suggesting a high level of confidence in the prediction.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief in exceeding 1550 cases.
• 2 High confidence level indicates strong consensus among participants.
• 3 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 Current edge suggests market pricing is accurate and fair.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.