Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

The market predicts at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 2026 with high confidence.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 100% probability for at least 1500 measles cases by March 31, 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this outlook with a 99% probability, indicating a high level of confidence in the prediction. The edge of -1 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief in the prediction with 100% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% probability.
• 3 The edge of -1 indicates a balanced market pricing.
• 4 Confidence level is relatively high at 80 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 62 hours, adding urgency to the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.