Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

The market predicts at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 2026 with high certainty.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 100% probability for at least 1400 measles cases by March 31, 2026. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction, indicating a high level of confidence in the outcome. The edge of -1 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief in exceeding 1400 cases.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level is relatively high at 80/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 No liquidity issues are indicated in the current market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.