Events › Politics › Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round …
Politics 1 platform 7 markets

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Combined AI YES
49.5%
Avg Confidence
64/100
Combined Volume
$1.7M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Par…
0.20%
37.00%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$227K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Thierry Mariani advance to the second round of the 2026…
0.30%
3.50%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$555K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Rachida Dati advance to the second round of the 2026 Pa…
99.95%
95.80%
AI YES
-4
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$555K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of th…
0.75%
27.50%
AI YES
0
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$197K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026…
99.00%
82.00%
AI YES
-5.5
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$118K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 202…
 0.20% 37.00% +1.5
60
$227K
Polymarket
Will Thierry Mariani advance to the second round of the…
near 		0.30% 3.50% +3
65
$555K
Polymarket
Will Rachida Dati advance to the second round of the 20…
near 		99.95% 95.80% -4
65
$555K
Polymarket
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round …
near 		0.75% 27.50% 0
65
$197K
Polymarket
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the…
near 		99.00% 82.00% -5.5
65
$118K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.20% NO 99.80%
Polymarket
YES 0.30% NO 99.70%
Polymarket
YES 99.95% NO 0.05%
Polymarket
YES 0.75% NO 99.25%
Polymarket
YES 99.00% NO 1.00%
Spread: 99.8 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Mariani advancing.
  • 2 The probability of YES is notably low at 0.50%.
  • 3 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in confidence for NO at 96.5%.
  • 4 Market edge indicates fair pricing with no major discrepancies.
  • 5 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the predictions.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 7 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.20%
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Par…
Polymarket 0.30%
Will Thierry Mariani advance to the second round of the 2026…
Polymarket 99.95%
Will Rachida Dati advance to the second round of the 2026 Pa…
Polymarket 0.75%
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of th…
Polymarket 99.00%
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026…
+2 more markets
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