Events › Politics › Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most…
Politics 1 platform 6 markets

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?

Combined AI YES
18.3%
Avg Confidence
65/100
Combined Volume
$269K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
99.45%
94.60%
AI YES
-4
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$74K
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
0.05%
3.05%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$55K
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
0.65%
3.05%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$52K
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes …
0.05%
3.05%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$38K
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
0.05%
3.05%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$32K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide …
 99.45% 94.60% -4
65
$74K
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide …
 0.05% 3.05% +3
65
$55K
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide …
 0.65% 3.05% +3
65
$52K
Polymarket
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list v…
near 		0.05% 3.05% +3
65
$38K
Polymarket
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide …
 0.05% 3.05% +3
65
$32K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 99.45% NO 0.55%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 0.65% NO 99.35%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Spread: 99.4 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market indicates overwhelming confidence in Grégoire's success.
  • 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
  • 3 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
  • 4 Confidence level reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
  • 5 Time to expiry remains uncertain, impacting market dynamics.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 6 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 99.45%
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
Polymarket 0.05%
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
Polymarket 0.65%
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
Polymarket 0.05%
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes …
Polymarket 0.05%
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list …
+1 more markets
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